As of fall 2026 the Antelope Valley market is balanced-to-steady: median sale prices in Palmdale and Lancaster are around $511,000 and $475,000 respectively, with Palmdale down about 1.7% year over year and Lancaster up about 1.6% (Redfin, September 2026), sale-to-list ratios right at 100%, and homes taking about 40 to 50 days to go under contract. Well-priced homes still sell in a few weeks; overpriced homes sit. Mortgage rates near 7.4% (Freddie Mac, week of October 15, 2026) keep payments the deciding factor, and seller credits are common. Beyond Estates tracks this weekly. Call (661) 441-3706 for a current read on your neighborhood.
Key numbers (as of September 2026 sales data, October 2026 rates)
| Metric | Palmdale | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $511,000 | $475,000 |
| Year-over-year change | -1.7% | +1.6% |
| Median days on market | 50 days | 41 days |
| 30-year fixed rate (national avg) | 7.4% (Freddie Mac, week of October 15, 2026) | |
Sources: Redfin Palmdale and Lancaster housing market pages (September 2026 data); Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (October 15, 2026). Figures move monthly; call for the current week.
What is driving the market
- Rates. Payment, not price, is what buyers shop. Each half-point move in rates changes who can afford what.
- LA spillover. Buyers priced out of the Valley and Santa Clarita keep coming up the 14. That floor under demand has held through every cycle.
- Aerospace. B-21 production at Plant 42, Edwards and Mojave keep high-wage jobs local.
- New construction. Builders are active, which caps resale price growth in some tracts but adds buyers to the area.
- Infrastructure bets. High-speed rail and the High Desert Corridor are long-dated but real.
What it means for sellers
Price to the last 60 days of comps, not last year. Present the home well (we include Showcase, video and drone). Expect buyers to ask for credits; plan for it in your pricing. Homes that do this sell in weeks.
What it means for buyers
You have negotiating room on homes that have sat 30+ days. Ask for credits and rate buydowns. Do not wait for a crash that the LA spillover and aerospace base make unlikely; buy the right house at a payment you can hold, then refinance when rates drop.
Forecast
We expect modest, steady appreciation in the AV through 2027 with the usual seasonal spring bump, as long as rates stay in their current band and Plant 42 keeps hiring. The east side and Lake LA have the most room; West Palmdale and Quartz Hill the most stability.
Last updated 2026-10-20 · About Charly · (661) 441-3706
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Frequently asked questions
Are home prices going down in Palmdale?
with Palmdale down about 1.7% year over year and Lancaster up about 1.6% (Redfin, September 2026), sale-to-list ratios right at 100%, and homes taking about 40 to 50 days to go under contract Call Beyond Estates for the current month's numbers in your neighborhood.
Is it a buyer's or seller's market in Lancaster CA?
Roughly balanced in 2026. Well-priced, well-presented homes sell quickly; overpriced homes sit and give buyers leverage.
What is the average home price in the Antelope Valley?
Median sale prices in 2026 are around $511,000 in Palmdale and $475,000 in Lancaster.
Talk to the #1 team in the Antelope Valley
Call or text. We answer 7 days a week, in English, Spanish or Arabic.
Charly Daoud, Team Leader · CA DRE #02023368
3001 Rancho Vista Blvd, Palmdale, CA 93551
Call or text (661) 441-3706 · charly.daoud@exprealty.com
Offices: Antelope Valley · San Fernando Valley · Bakersfield · Central Valley